Philip Bowring: Not a
bad start for Malaysia's new prime minister After Mahathir By Philip Bowring (IHT) Monday, January 12, 2004
Pak Lah, as he is colloquially known, has made breaks with the past
that suggest he wants a Malaysia where quality counts more than quantity,
where integrity matters. Yet he is still a prisoner of the past and many
still doubt his ability to fulfill the hopes of those who want a more
liberal, less crony-ridden Malaysia. Abdullah may want a kinder, gentler
Malaysia but can he, a consensus-builder, deliver it? Thus far the signals
have been mostly positive.
His biggest political tests lie ahead: a general election likely to be
held in March or April and elections for the governing party, UMNO, in
June. The general election result will be crucial to the party elections
and his ability to dominate a notoriously faction-ridden organization. How
many Malays can he win back to UMNO from the main opposition party, Parti
Islam, and Keadilan, the multiracial but mostly Malay party formed after
the arrest of former Deputy Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim? A big
improvement on UMNO's 1999 performance would give him a free hand to
promote higher standards in a party that has become synonymous with access
to business deals. Anything less could leave him needing to compromise.
The election outlook is quite promising. Abdullah's religious
credentials - which he does not wear on his sleeve - and his courteous
manner probably appeal to Malays. Parti Islam has moved to a more extreme
Islamist position after the sudden death last year of its astute leader,
Fadzil Nor. Better still, the rural economy is reviving thanks to a boom
in palm oil and rubber prices. But it will still be a tough fight with a
well organized Parti Islam.
Some reformists have been disappointed by his choice of Najib Tun Razak
as his deputy. Defense Minister Najib, 50, was strongly favored by
Mahathir and has ambitions to succeed Abdullah, 62, and many wanted a
cleaner break. But Najib was the best choice of the three most senior UMNO
office-holders. To have named someone from outside this group would have
created serious tensions within the party.
There has been disappointment, too, that he has not so far released
more political detainees or moved toward reconciliation with Anwar. The
judiciary is still seen by many as an extension of executive power.
However, there have been some very positive signs, too.
Major deals given to cronies in the latter days of the Mahathir
administration have been canceled and several grandiose public projects
placed under review. Appointments ranging from police chief to an
apolitical deputy finance minister have emphasized professionalism
expected by a prime minister who was once a civil servant himself.
Corruption is now acknowledged to be a major problem and the
anticorruption agency has sprung back to life. A public ethics institute
is being established and a commission will examine the competence and
credibility of the police.
UMNO itself is so deeply embedded in money politics that it may
successfully resist efforts by a consensual leader to change its ways.
Anwar's release may be long delayed by fears that he poses a potential
threat, not so much to Abdullah but to those who hope to succeed him.
But Abdullah does have a reputation for personal honesty, a belief in
the importance of public institutions and a pluralistic approach to social
and religious issues. He is also not in thrall of big business. There is a
reasonable chance that the independence of the bureaucracy and judiciary,
so undermined by Mahathir, will revive. At the same time he is likely in
practice to follow Mahathir's goals of gradually reducing Malay racial
advantages, de-emphasizing the outward forms of religion and promoting
ethnic integration in schools.
Internationally, he has ended Mahathir's abrasive posture to the United
States and Singapore and reduced the protection of Malaysia's car industry
which was undermining the Asean free trade agreement.
His combination of competence and modest demeanor may even give him
superior credentials in a Southeast Asia where leadership is either
lacking or lacks appropriate modesty. So far so good for Pak Lah. |
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